15 Comments

I'm starting to think they are trapped and are starting to realise it:

Re-creating nuclear (or coal, gas, oil) is in many nations politically impossible and is rapidly becoming financially impossible too - the funds, resurces and money is dwindling away as it is being spent on other political holy cows.

Admitting that artificially increasing the populations by millions or more in just two decades, when the underlying infrastructure was planned and built during the 1950s (may vary with nation) for the projected natural demographical changes has been an unmitigated disaster almost on par with WW2 (yes, really - look at the cost, especially in cost of opportunity and long term destruction of assets terms)? Also politically impossible to admit in public, or even to oneself.

Trying to create a United States of Europe where Germany's banking system is co-dependent with Greece or Italy? I still remember my initial response before Sweden was forced into the EG/EU: "Are they insane for real?" The endemic and systemic corruption in such nations makes them impossible to make deals with, beyond "we buy/sell A for/to B from you" - letting them into any kind of decisionmaking circles where there is a mutual interdependence is like putting the fox in the henhouse. To quote the italian father of a classmate from compulsory school: "Only do business with italians when they lose more tricking you than not".

Weather forecasts for the coming 5 winters point to the kind of winters we had during 1940-1947 approximately. Cold, heavy snows, and long. "Warwinter" is even a swedish idiom, though much older than that. Meaning a winter so harsh that it is like it is waging war on you.

And no european nation is self-sustaining re: food, fuel for farming machinery or processing plants and distribution, nor can any european nation make itself be self-sustaining even discounting idiotic EU and international agreements based in fantasy, not within 10 years. Peparedness takes time to create and the one best prepared for conducting a blitz-krieg attack against the unprepared wins.

And we are under attack. We are being invaded. We are being ravaged by the chinese-american trade war against us. We are being subjugated by the moronic ideas called western progressive liberalism, which in reality are nothing but a recipe for self-enslavement, and the authors of that... well, let's just say the proponents and sponsors of NGOs advocating and heralding western progressive liberalism have some common qualities.

Now, all of Europe is in the situation Germany was in 1943 - to any sober observer it is obvious that the war is lost, due to logistics and the leadership believing their belief in their own propaganda will force reality to comply, if only people believe hard enough.

The wonder weapons do not work, the vengeance weapons achieves nothing, the well of resources is empty, and all the people with ideas about how to fix things have been purged from both the politicial and financial system.

It simply must crash. Or even be made to crash.

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De Croc.

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I find it somewhat funny (in a dark humor kind of way) how Europe got itself into this mess. If it had simply told the United States to go fight its (proxy) war by itself, we would not be in this situation. Alas, here we are. I don't think the EU will recover. I'm not sure if it'll formally disintegrate, or if it'll simply become irrelevant. In any case, I imagine pretty much all the countries currently in the EU are likely to become significantly poorer.

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Aug 29, 2022·edited Aug 29, 2022

I have been planning for this event for more than a decade, decades even but it takes time, lots of thought, to work this out enough to actually do something. Now all you Johnny come latelys are in a rush to catch up. But they don't have the insights nor resources I have had. They spent their surpluses on vacations! Hahahaha!

The only problem with this article is it pretends a decade from now things will get better. Just on the Natgas side Russians probably recently figured out they only have a century of proven reserves - for themselves - they ain't going to be flowing much gas in Europe's direction anytime soon is my guess.

I could tell you what I've done over the last decade, but you all would be bored to death with it. Better than starving to death in the winter cold! Hahahahaha!

Sorry I might laugh, but most people have rejected me for so long that I think you all deserve the punishment about to be meted out.

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author

Hi Rick,

thanks for your comment.

Did you read the last sentence?

'Join me tomorrow as we’ll discuss the impending economic storm: the most likely outcome of the above is—a depression, pretty much like the one in the 1930s.'

I'm not trying to do this or that to gloat. I'll try to inform people, however little this will do in the long run.

I'm sorry you were subject to such abuse and the like, but I'd like to point out that I never indicate that the future will be better 5-10 years hence. You've been a long-time reader, and I think you know as well as I do that these pages here are about re-taking control over our lives. The future is yet unwritten, but it's important that we the people at least try to shape it ourselves, for otherwise the future will be shaped by someone else.

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I read the entire article then typed out my immediate thoughts.

Taking control over oneself and those within walking distance, in an area with more resources than people, is the first step as this hierarchy is about to collapse.

Some people are tough, some have learned to get by on less, know how to grow nutritious food, live in humble easy to heat shelter, they will be fine.

Those needing medications because they are eating the fascist food, not so much.

Just natural.

I'll share one idea I have been learning is to lacto ferment vegetables I grow naturally in half gallon jars, after 3-5 days, when the pressure lessons, I packed the jars into the fridge. I'm up to 33 now, I have room for 45 and parceled out this is enough for one person the five months of non-growing season here. But along with all the food I'm growing that stores without processing, and that which I pickle and can, I will have enough for the three people in this house. But the other two are like the rest of you, habituated to buying sterilized food. We'll see what they do once the food is really cheapened up. This fermentation method preserves the food without refrigeration and lasts longer than a month (I'm learning some food stores longer, some very short like potatoes just melt away in it - proves its a crap food source (it literally smells like crap btw) in room temperature, more than a year in the coolbox. No power for 8 hours a day no problem.

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Aug 29, 2022·edited Aug 29, 2022

Re: your recommendations

Good advice. However, you forgot to mention warm indoor clothes (alas, wood and such is not an option for most of us living in apartments), as well as candles and battery powered lamps.

I wonder what I should do about water. If they turn off electricity, they may also turn off water. I also hope they tell us at least a couple of days in advance when they plan to turn off power and for how long. We might not be so lucky, though...

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If you live in an apartment or in a city with central water works, a power outage means no water anyway. Typically, waterworks have emergency generators but when the diesel for those is spent, that's it.

Most nations have plans for water distribution via tanker trucks. Can you imagine what that will look like in a migrant ghetto? It's going to be very difficult to spin being forced to escort tankers with armed soldiers...

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Right. That's what I was thinking: no power, no water. I remember that's what it was like back in the 1990s in Serbia (frequent blackouts, accompanied - at least in our building - by no water). We used to keep water in a plastic barrel on the balcony. Alas, I don't have a balcony now, and I'm a bit concerned about keeping something like that indoors (don't want to flood the neighbors!). Making sure I have sufficient drinking water shouldn't be too hard, but the rest may be an issue...

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In a city, you are 100% dependent on state/corporate makto-scale solutions, as rainwater collection or river water simply won't be enough or clean enough - imagine Londoners having to drink the water right out of the Thames.

Since our host has dangled the treat of a treaty on methods of preparing for tomorrow, I'll wait with any oberschlau or neumalklug comments on prepping.

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Right. I'm absolutely dependent on the state. That's how it is. There are some small things I can do (such as make sure I have enough warm clothes), but ultimately, if the state forgets about me, then I starve or freeze. There's no way to be truly ready. This isn't even possible for country folk who own their property. For city folk - forget it. I can just do little things to make myself a bit more comfortable in case of minor-to-medium disruptions.

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in 2008 a barrel of crude oil was about 180 dollars.

now it is about 90 dollars.

now the price of gasoline is about 40% higher than it was in 2008.....

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De Croo warns of '5-10 years of hard times' - they will turn us into free-range prisoners.

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author

They seek to frighten the people to stay 'voluntarily' at-home, that's what I think this is about.

Angry people who remain at home: easily manageable.

Angry people who take to the streets: not so much.

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You think? The thing to keep in mind is that work from home is not compatible with blackouts. How are you supposed to organize a Zoom meeting when you never know which of your colleagues has power at a given moment?

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